This forum thread from the original iPod launch shows why technology predictions are pointless

It might seem a strange opinion for a technology journalist to hold, but trying to predict the future success of a new product on launch day is pretty much pointless. Sure, everyone is welcome to an opinion – and no-one on the internet struggles to voice those – but actually trying to predict whether something will be a hit or not based on launch day specs is a fools game. To prove it, just take a look at this forum thread on MacRumors about the launch of the iPod back in 2001. There are plenty of great (and – with the benefit…
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